Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000624 0.000708 0.000797 0.000898 0.001010 0.001128 0.001263
2026-01-04 0.000499 0.000617 0.000750 0.000910 0.001097 0.001307 0.001559
2026-01-11 0.000422 0.000554 0.000708 0.000903 0.001138 0.001412 0.001752
2026-01-18 0.000363 0.000502 0.000672 0.000894 0.001171 0.001503 0.001927
2026-01-25 0.000324 0.000469 0.000654 0.000902 0.001221 0.001612 0.002122
2026-02-01 0.000289 0.000438 0.000634 0.000903 0.001259 0.001704 0.002297
2026-02-08 0.000250 0.000396 0.000595 0.000876 0.001256 0.001744 0.002404
2026-02-15 0.000219 0.000362 0.000562 0.000854 0.001258 0.001786 0.002515
2026-02-22 0.000197 0.000339 0.000544 0.000849 0.001281 0.001855 0.002659
2026-03-01 0.000178 0.000320 0.000529 0.000848 0.001307 0.001927 0.002809
2026-03-08 0.000160 0.000298 0.000508 0.000836 0.001318 0.001979 0.002932
2026-03-15 0.000143 0.000277 0.000487 0.000822 0.001323 0.002022 0.003042
2026-03-22 0.000135 0.000271 0.000489 0.000843 0.001382 0.002141 0.003263
2026-03-29 0.000126 0.000262 0.000485 0.000856 0.001426 0.002243 0.003461
2026-04-05 0.000114 0.000247 0.000470 0.000849 0.001442 0.002302 0.003600
2026-04-12 0.000103 0.000232 0.000455 0.000840 0.001454 0.002356 0.003732
2026-04-19 0.000096 0.000224 0.000450 0.000848 0.001491 0.002447 0.003918
2026-04-26 0.000089 0.000214 0.000442 0.000849 0.001517 0.002521 0.004083
2026-05-03 0.000078 0.000196 0.000418 0.000823 0.001500 0.002530 0.004150
2026-05-10 0.000069 0.000182 0.000398 0.000803 0.001489 0.002548 0.004231
2026-05-17 0.000063 0.000172 0.000388 0.000798 0.001503 0.002604 0.004369
2026-05-24 0.000058 0.000164 0.000380 0.000796 0.001523 0.002668 0.004520
2026-05-31 0.000052 0.000155 0.000367 0.000786 0.001526 0.002707 0.004633